PUBLIC DIAGNOSTIC · 2024–25 DRAFTKINGS ARCHIVE
A legal lineup is a different product than a player list.
This replay tests whether the decision layer can turn projections and historical salaries into legal lineup surfaces. It is a lineup-quality diagnostic, not a contest-results claim.
112projection slates
111cash-profile slates
67.2%cash optimality
21.1%cash beat projection baseline
DIAGNOSTIC CONTRACTDRAFTKINGS SALARY ARCHIVE · $50K CAPOWNERSHIP UNAVAILABLE
Profile comparison
| Profile | Slates | Mean actual FP | Mean salary used | Optimality | Beat projection baseline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Projection | 112 | 246.30 | $49,911.61 | 66.63% | 0.00% |
| Cash | 111 | 248.23 | $49,912.61 | 67.16% | 21.10% |
| Value | 114 | 229.22 | $45,571.05 | 62.02% | 18.75% |
| Ceiling | 110 | 220.90 | $45,291.82 | 59.99% | 24.07% |
“Optimality” is actual lineup points divided by the hindsight-optimal lineup for that slate. It describes lineup quality, not a finish, payout, or return on capital.
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What it provesSalary and roster constraints materially change the decision surface; raw projection ranking is not the entire product.
What it cannot proveSalary capture timing was not lock-verified. Ownership, entries, field sizes, and payouts are unavailable, so ROI is not evaluable.